Talk Nerdy 2 Us
Science & Tech • Business
Raising awareness on cybersecurity threats and IT challenges that businesses and individuals face. Educating businesses and individuals on how to protect themselves on the internet and protect their data. Spreading cybersecurity news in a more entertaining fashion then just reading articles.
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Guide to shopping safely online this holiday season

I put together an online shopping safety guide. I hope this helps keep you safe this holiday season.

Talk_Nerdy_-_Shopping_Safely_Online.pdf
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August 15, 2024
Makes you think

After our show on alternative medical devices, here is a youtube video down the rabbit hole.

00:01:29
Ransomware training for the Tempe Chamber of Commerce

I did a video to raise awareness on ransomware for small businesses in Tempe Arizona. This was part of the IT Tip of the Month for October's newsletter. This is part one of a two part video series for the Tempe Chamber of Commerce.

00:08:44
August 06, 2025
MLB Picks – August 6, 2025

1. San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Pick: Giants ML (–142)
Total Lean: Under 7.5
Notes: Ray (2.85 ERA) offers the edge over Heaney (4.75 ERA)

2. Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies
Pick: Phillies ML (–147)
Total Lean: Over 8
Notes: Suárez’s advanced metrics overpower Rogers

3. Cleveland Guardians @ New York Mets
Pick: Mets ML (–156)
Total Lean: Under 7.5
Notes: Strong home edge for Peterson (2.83 ERA)

4. Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers
Pick: Tigers ML (–130)
Total Lean: Under 7.5
Notes: Tight matchup; pitching likely suppresses scoring

5. Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs
Pick: Cubs ML (–133)
Total Lean: Under 7.5
Notes: Abbott and Horton both control arms; low total expected

6. New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers
Pick: Yankees ML (–129)
Total Lean: Under 8
Notes: Rodón (3.36 ERA) in strong form vs Leiter

7. Toronto Blue Jays @ Colorado Rockies
Pick: Blue Jays ML (–208)
Total Lean: Over 11.5
Notes: Coors Field tilt; high run probability

8. Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Angels
Pick: Rays ML (–116)
Total Lean: Under 9
...

July 29th 2025

🔎 MLB Prediction Insights – July 29, 2025
Here’s today’s breakdown of consensus moneylines, model-driven picks, and high-value prop bets across the MLB slate. All insights based on public action, predictive models, and player/pitcher performance indicators.

📊 Consensus Moneyline Picks (via Covers Public Action):

Orioles –135 vs. Blue Jays (+112)

Giants –179 vs. Pirates (+122)

Astros –149 vs. Nationals (+121)

Phillies –205 vs. White Sox (+175)

Cubs –102 vs. Brewers (–117)

Dodgers –140 vs. Reds (+138)

Mariners –125 vs. Athletics (–115)

🎯 Model-Based Edges & Key Props

Twins vs. Red Sox: Projected total leans Under 10.5

White Sox +1.5 RL vs. Phillies gaining model confidence

Dodgers vs. Reds: Simulated outcome supports Under 9

NRFI (No Run 1st Inning): Strong candidates include Morton, Pfaadt, and Webb starts

📅 Game-by-Game Model Leans

Blue Jays @ Orioles
🔹 Lean: Orioles ML | 🔍 NRFI opportunity (Morton projected)

Rockies @ Guardians
🔹 Lean: Guardians ML | Under if pitching holds

Diamondbacks @ ...

July 25th picks

Moneyline Picks

Milwaukee Brewers (-225) vs Miami Marlins
Freddy Peralta (2.87 ERA) is on the mound at home, where Milwaukee is 33–17. The Brewers are 9–1 in their last 10 games against a declining Marlins squad.

San Diego Padres (-137) @ St. Louis Cardinals
Nick Pivetta (2.82 ERA) faces off against Miles Mikolas (5.20 ERA). The Padres hold a distinct edge despite being on the road.

Seattle Mariners (-136) @ Los Angeles Angels
Bryan Woo (2.92 ERA) has delivered steady performances. Seattle is 6-3-1 O/U in their last 10 and has a lineup advantage over the Angels.

📊 Over/Under Value Plays

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Yankees – Over 10.0
Both starters (Taijuan Walker and Warren) carry ERAs over 3.80. Bullpens are heavily taxed, pointing toward high scoring.

Atlanta Braves @ Texas Rangers – Under 8.0
Joey Wentz and Nathan Eovaldi bring elite ERAs into a matchup trending under for both teams.

Colorado Rockies @ Baltimore Orioles – Under 9.0
While Kyle Freeland has struggled, Baltimore’s inconsistent scoring and the ...

July 25th Picks

Moneyline Picks

  • Milwaukee Brewers (-225) vs Miami Marlins
    Freddy Peralta (2.87 ERA) is on the mound at home, where Milwaukee is 33–17. The Brewers are 9–1 in their last 10 games against a declining Marlins squad.

  • San Diego Padres (-137) @ St. Louis Cardinals
    Nick Pivetta (2.82 ERA) faces off against Miles Mikolas (5.20 ERA). The Padres hold a distinct edge despite being on the road.

  • Seattle Mariners (-136) @ Los Angeles Angels
    Bryan Woo (2.92 ERA) has delivered steady performances. Seattle is 6-3-1 O/U in their last 10 and has a lineup advantage over the Angels.

    Over/Under Value Plays

    • Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Yankees – Over 10.0
      Both starters (Taijuan Walker and Warren) carry ERAs over 3.80. Bullpens are heavily taxed, pointing toward high scoring.

    • Atlanta Braves @ Texas Rangers – Under 8.0
      Joey Wentz and Nathan Eovaldi bring elite ERAs into a matchup trending under for both teams.

    • Colorado Rockies @ Baltimore Orioles – Under 9.0
      While Kyle Freeland has struggled, Baltimore’s inconsistent scoring and the pitcher-friendly venue lean toward the under.

      Strikeout Prop Targets

      • MacKenzie Gore (WAS) Over 5.5 Ks (-130)
        Projected for 7.0 strikeouts vs a Minnesota lineup with a 30.8% strikeout rate.

      • Zebby Matthews (MIN) Over 4.5 Ks (-155)
        Consistent strikeout performer (80% hit rate) against a weaker Nationals lineup. Projected 5.3 Ks.

      • Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) Over 5.5 Ks (-102)
        Solid swing-and-miss metrics; projected 5.8 Ks vs an aggressive Braves lineup.

        Home Run Spotlights

        • Shohei Ohtani (LAD) +185
          Five home runs in his last 10 games. Faces Bello at Fenway, a hitter-friendly matchup.

        • Aaron Judge (NYY) +135
          In rhythm, with elite barrel and hard-hit percentages. Short porch in right field helps his case.

        • Cal Raleigh (SEA) +260
          Projects 0.2 HRs vs Soriano. A great leverage play for a longshot HR pick.

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