After our show on alternative medical devices, here is a youtube video down the rabbit hole.

1. San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Pick: Giants ML (–142)
Total Lean: Under 7.5
Notes: Ray (2.85 ERA) offers the edge over Heaney (4.75 ERA)

2. Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies
Pick: Phillies ML (–147)
Total Lean: Over 8
Notes: Suárez’s advanced metrics overpower Rogers

3. Cleveland Guardians @ New York Mets
Pick: Mets ML (–156)
Total Lean: Under 7.5
Notes: Strong home edge for Peterson (2.83 ERA)

4. Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers
Pick: Tigers ML (–130)
Total Lean: Under 7.5
Notes: Tight matchup; pitching likely suppresses scoring

5. Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs
Pick: Cubs ML (–133)
Total Lean: Under 7.5
Notes: Abbott and Horton both control arms; low total expected

6. New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers
Pick: Yankees ML (–129)
Total Lean: Under 8
Notes: Rodón (3.36 ERA) in strong form vs Leiter

7. Toronto Blue Jays @ Colorado Rockies
Pick: Blue Jays ML (–208)
Total Lean: Over 11.5
Notes: Coors Field tilt; high run probability

8. Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Angels
Pick: Rays ML (–116)
Total Lean: Under 9
...

🔎 MLB Prediction Insights – July 29, 2025
Here’s today’s breakdown of consensus moneylines, model-driven picks, and high-value prop bets across the MLB slate. All insights based on public action, predictive models, and player/pitcher performance indicators.

📊 Consensus Moneyline Picks (via Covers Public Action):

Orioles –135 vs. Blue Jays (+112)

Giants –179 vs. Pirates (+122)

Astros –149 vs. Nationals (+121)

Phillies –205 vs. White Sox (+175)

Cubs –102 vs. Brewers (–117)

Dodgers –140 vs. Reds (+138)

Mariners –125 vs. Athletics (–115)

🎯 Model-Based Edges & Key Props

Twins vs. Red Sox: Projected total leans Under 10.5

White Sox +1.5 RL vs. Phillies gaining model confidence

Dodgers vs. Reds: Simulated outcome supports Under 9

NRFI (No Run 1st Inning): Strong candidates include Morton, Pfaadt, and Webb starts

📅 Game-by-Game Model Leans

Blue Jays @ Orioles
🔹 Lean: Orioles ML | 🔍 NRFI opportunity (Morton projected)

Rockies @ Guardians
🔹 Lean: Guardians ML | Under if pitching holds

Diamondbacks @ ...

Moneyline Picks

Milwaukee Brewers (-225) vs Miami Marlins
Freddy Peralta (2.87 ERA) is on the mound at home, where Milwaukee is 33–17. The Brewers are 9–1 in their last 10 games against a declining Marlins squad.

San Diego Padres (-137) @ St. Louis Cardinals
Nick Pivetta (2.82 ERA) faces off against Miles Mikolas (5.20 ERA). The Padres hold a distinct edge despite being on the road.

Seattle Mariners (-136) @ Los Angeles Angels
Bryan Woo (2.92 ERA) has delivered steady performances. Seattle is 6-3-1 O/U in their last 10 and has a lineup advantage over the Angels.

📊 Over/Under Value Plays

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Yankees – Over 10.0
Both starters (Taijuan Walker and Warren) carry ERAs over 3.80. Bullpens are heavily taxed, pointing toward high scoring.

Atlanta Braves @ Texas Rangers – Under 8.0
Joey Wentz and Nathan Eovaldi bring elite ERAs into a matchup trending under for both teams.

Colorado Rockies @ Baltimore Orioles – Under 9.0
While Kyle Freeland has struggled, Baltimore’s inconsistent scoring and the ...